Tommy's Travel Forecast: Severe weather season ramps up

Date:

AUSTIN (KXAN) — The past 72 hours have been one of the most active severe weather outbreaks in recent years. There are thousands of storm reports ranging from wind damage to deadly tornadoes across the lower 48.

Storm reports (captured on Sunday March 16th)

The Storm Prediction Center, a branch of the National Weather Service, issued a level 5/5 ‘high’ risk for Mississippi and Alabama on Saturday, which resulted in multiple long-track tornadoes, damaging winds, large hail, and flash-flooding. On Friday, a level 4/5 ‘moderate risk’ was issued for portions of the Northern Plains and Midwest.

March is usually when the severe weather season begins to ramp up, and this forecast will cover the current severe weather along the east coast and break down the next week ahead.

This national forecast covers the period from March 16 to March 23.

Overview: A good part of the nation is recovering from multiple severe weather outbreaks, and weather conditions are fairly quiet across the next several days. Our next weather maker is currently bringing rain and mountain snow to the west coast. This storm system will arrive mid-week across the Plains, and will deliver snow, heavy rain, and gusty winds.

Wednesday's storm system (GFS)
Wednesday’s storm system bringing snow/rain/gusts (GFS)

At the upper levels, winds will be ripping out of the west in the Southern Plains on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Upper level jet
Upper level jet- trough across the plains mid-week

At the surface, winds could gust over 50 mph. This air will be very dry, which will lead to critical wildfire conditions.

Gusty winds mid-week
Gusty winds mid-week

Temperatures will be ‘near normal’ or ‘warmer than normal’ 6-10 days out from now for most of the lower 48.

6-10 day temperature outlook
6-10 day temperature outlook

The east coast will likely see ‘wetter than normal’ trends with a drier trend likely for the Southwest.

6-10 day precipitation outlook
6-10 day precipitation outlook

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